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Author Topic: Oil Prices Could See a Major Shift in Direction in the Near Future Post a Reply Back to Topics
mastermariner

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Texas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:00:08 AM

Since I first started writing about energy in 2005, I have said many times that my view on oil prices is long-term, and that if I projected five years into the future, I foresaw oil prices being higher than they were in the present.

The chart below — using spot prices from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crudes — shows that this has held true since 2001.
The annual average price of crude (source is again EIA) rose every year from 2001 ($25.98 for WTI) through 2008 ($99.67), fell back to $61.95 in 2009 (which was still above the price of five years earlier), and then climbed again in 2010 and 2011.

Starting from 2001, the average annual five-year increment on price through 2011 was $38.66. In other words, that’s how much WTI
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REPLIES (newest first)
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jrs4125
Champion Author Indiana

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:12:19 PM

The only way prices will go down and stay down is to reduce demand.
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bigmoo63
Champion Author Kalamazoo

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:33:12 PM

More speculation and double speak. Whos pocket is this one in?
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crep1291
Champion Author Ottawa

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 10:25:07 AM

Oil prices are one thing. Gas prices are another one. Oil is much lower than it was in 2008, yet gas prices are still trading near that level of 2008. BTW, refining margins today are at 18.8c/L (0.71$/gal) for WTI, 10.9c/L (0.41$/gal) for Brent and since mid-west refineries have access to Canadian crude at a substantial discount, their margins are also substantially higher...
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Night Owl
Champion Author Toronto

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 9:41:57 AM

Get greedy oil speculators out of the oil market. Let the laws of supply and demand dictate oil prices.
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BurntOrange
Champion Author Austin

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 9:05:25 AM

Then again, they could just stay the same.
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JamesCalvin
Champion Author Lancaster

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 6:46:32 AM

Long term is up, Up and away!

Mark my words!
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kenji554
Champion Author Charlotte

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 6:32:05 AM

ok
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WalRus49
Champion Author Boston

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 4:26:37 AM

Just more organized mayhem and pillage..............
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Rich1430
All-Star Author Indiana

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 3:07:07 AM

I am not going hold my breath waitng for prices to go down any time soon. They are on a wild rollercoaster ride up the down up then down here. It's sickening.
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greywolves
Champion Author Las Vegas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 2:04:41 AM

i seem to have misplaced my ouija board. honey, where are my darts?
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comprof
Champion Author Houston

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 2:04:34 AM

And we have a new speculator speculating about the effect of speculators on gas and oil prices. What is new?
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kd5kpd
Champion Author Texas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:53:44 AM

Another best guess prognostication; aka they dont have a fricking clue what it will do. If you cant dazzle them with brilliance, baffle them with BS!!!
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Liefhebber
Champion Author Chicago

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:51:21 AM

Sounds like gas could get back to $2/gal. or close.
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Jeff4U
Champion Author Atlanta

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:49:02 AM

What else is new? Just hope the major shift is to our advantage for a change.
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UseLessGasFolks
Champion Author Iowa

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:47:56 AM


Right - Maybe higher - Maybe lower
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LostToo
Champion Author Illinois

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:47:41 AM

There are many things that can happen to a five year forecast. Either people are going to forget what you said right or wrong. You could die and no one would have a chance to call you on your error or Like now nobody cares about five years from now. We care about the here and now. So shut up and keep your opinions to your self if you aren't going to do us some good.
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TigerRose
Champion Author Illinois

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:47:26 AM

Yet another speculators report
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Dodge_Me
Champion Author Atlanta

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:45:32 AM

Hmm
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themaninthehat
Champion Author New Orleans

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:41:07 AM

Tonight's weather forecast: DARK!
Continued mostly dark tonight
followed by widely scattered light in the morning.

(George Carlin
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JoeKR
Champion Author New Jersey

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:39:49 AM

It requires no genius to make such a forecast!
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Saunch2012
Veteran Author Pennsylvania

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:38:52 AM

ok
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Bruno44
Champion Author Texas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:37:38 AM

Huhhh?
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jferrara41
All-Star Author Pennsylvania

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:31:33 AM

sure
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Tigercat88
Champion Author North Carolina

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:30:15 AM

Not worth a comment.
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Dragnet
Champion Author Arizona

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:27:02 AM

Is this a stupid story or what
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pumaMN
Champion Author Minnesota

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:26:13 AM

good
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Mustache_33
All-Star Author Toronto

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:22:23 AM

k
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TRYWI
All-Star Author Appleton

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:20:46 AM

okay
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TBONE3
Champion Author Pennsylvania

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:19:31 AM

Guess we will just have to wait and see which way the price goes. One thing for sure, the oil companies will not be the looser.
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OilOnTheCheap
Champion Author Ventura

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:19:29 AM

Any relief from high gas prices is temporary.
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no8c
Champion Author Ohio

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:19:06 AM

Thanks for posting!
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VetteFan
Champion Author Indiana

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:18:58 AM

A continued downward shift would be nice.
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willsaveNY
Champion Author Albany

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:15:10 AM

back to $25 a barrel and all economies will rebound.
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Agarre
Champion Author Richmond

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:11:15 AM

hopefully
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Road-Runner
Champion Author Denver

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:10:43 AM

The oil industry has had a price bubble ready to burst for years. One of these days the bubble will burst.
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roadrunnerMO
Champion Author Kansas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:10:06 AM

Remember that obama wants those higher prices. Time for change. Vote obama out in November.
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OWENALOTT
Champion Author Appleton

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:08:15 AM

My neighbor lost her job of 16 years making $18hr about 3 months ago. Last week the same company was hiring for that same position for $8hr, no benifits AND they are making record profits. Think about it. CORPORATE GREED!
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probedude2
Champion Author Akron

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:05:14 AM

or maybe not
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bobdec
Champion Author Miami

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:04:55 AM

Gas prices will go much higher within a year
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jtfftj
Champion Author New Hampshire

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:04:19 AM

Good ole EIA. Shut it down.
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Zonk
Champion Author Michigan

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:02:59 AM

I don't project any big downturn in gas prices.
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TIGERPAW46
Champion Author Florida

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:02:13 AM

I'm sure oil prices will increase again. They always do eventually. When is another story. What I do know is if they go up, gasoline etc will follow & the economy will go down in response. Energy cost rise then cost of everything increases.
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gus8441
Champion Author Baltimore

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 1:00:49 AM

shocking lol
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chuckwthompson
Champion Author Charlotte

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:59:49 AM

Is anyone really surprised by this?
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Bussman
Champion Author Dallas

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:59:35 AM

Not newsworthy.
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frostyWV
Champion Author West Virginia

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:57:09 AM

more bad news.
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Matt G
Champion Author Boston

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:55:44 AM

Ok
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tsa3333
Rookie Author Michigan

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:55:00 AM

shocker
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defiancegasman
Champion Author Ohio

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:54:42 AM

Too bad they figure a way to keep GAS PRICES HIGH, even when OIL PRICES FALLS!
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asog75
All-Star Author Indiana

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Message Posted: Jun 12, 2012 12:54:34 AM

well lets see,im ready
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